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Occupation · 2026 assessment

Physical education Assessment Specialist

The Physical education Assessment Specialist role combines repeatable operations with decisions that require professional context. The index measures task exposure to AI, software automation and robotics—not the probability that the occupation disappears.

Moderate risk level Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

45%2026
49%2028
54%2030
61%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
Creating explanations and learning materials68%
Grading standard assignments68%
Selecting exercises for a learner's level59%
Managing schedules, reporting and learning analytics64%
Live feedback, motivation and group facilitation27%
Accountability for learner safety and development22%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1Creating explanations and learning materialsAI 68% · human 51%
  2. 2Grading standard assignmentsAI 68% · human 55%
  3. 3Selecting exercises for a learner's levelAI 59% · human 49%
  4. 4Managing schedules, reporting and learning analyticsAI 64% · human 59%
  5. 5Live feedback, motivation and group facilitationAI 27% · human 63%
  6. 6Accountability for learner safety and developmentAI 22% · human 74%

Why technology can change this work

  • AI creates explanations, exercises and assessments
  • adaptive systems select pace and difficulty
  • scheduling, reporting and some grading can be automated

What protects the occupation

  • motivation, mentorship and live feedback
  • understanding an individual learner's condition
  • group dynamics, safety and responsibility for development

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$5 700per month
2035$7 700scenario estimate
2026: $5 70020262027: $5 90020272028: $6 10020282029: $6 30020292030: $6 50020302031: $6 75020312032: $6 95020322033: $7 20020332034: $7 45020342035: $7 7002035
Find jobs ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗

Practical next step

Where to move next

Do not restart from zero: carry your experience forward and add scarce skills.

Teacher

Established resilient role
New role risk23%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit89%

Adaptive Learning Designer

Emerging role
New role risk18%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit87%

AI Tutor Supervisor

Emerging role
New role risk22%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit85%

Vocal Education Methodologist

Established resilient role
New role risk20%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit83%

Educational Psychologist

Established resilient role
New role risk15%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit64%

Future of Work Analyst

Emerging role
New role risk28%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit60%

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Skills you already have

  • clear explanation
  • learning assessment
  • group attention management
  • feedback

Skills to build

  • hybrid learning
  • AI-assisted curriculum design
  • AI-content validation
  • learning analytics
CurrentPhysical education Assessment Specialist · 45%
→
Keepclear explanation · learning assessment · group attention management
→
Addhybrid learning · AI-assisted curriculum design · AI-content validation

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-25 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.