Occupation · 2026 assessment

Ovtsevod

Ovtsevod is an occupation responsible for cultivation, care or restoration of living systems under seasonal, biological and environmental constraints. The profile assesses automation of individual tasks rather than disappearance of the whole occupation.

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How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

33%2026
36%2028
40%2030
46%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
Monitoring sensors, fields and crop condition36%
Calculating irrigation, nutrition and treatment43%
Sorting produce by visual characteristics41%
Operating machinery on a standard route55%
Diagnosing problems directly in the field32%
Decisions involving weather and living systems14%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1Monitoring sensors, fields and crop conditionAI 36% · human 77%
  2. 2Calculating irrigation, nutrition and treatmentAI 43% · human 75%
  3. 3Sorting produce by visual characteristicsAI 41% · human 74%
  4. 4Operating machinery on a standard routeAI 55% · human 61%
  5. 5Diagnosing problems directly in the fieldAI 32% · human 82%
  6. 6Decisions involving weather and living systemsAI 14% · human 77%

Why technology can change this work

  • drones and satellites automate field monitoring
  • autonomous machinery takes repetitive operations
  • AI forecasts yield, disease and resource needs

What protects the occupation

  • living systems and weather uncertainty
  • on-farm repair and decision making
  • a large share of value comes from human judgement, trust or personal accountability
  • biological and economic accountability

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$5 300per month
2035$7 650scenario estimate
2026: $5 30020262027: $5 50020272028: $5 75020282029: $6 00020292030: $6 25020302031: $6 50020312032: $6 80020322033: $7 05020332034: $7 35020342035: $7 6502035
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Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

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Skills you already have

  • crop or livestock knowledge
  • farm-condition assessment
  • machinery operation
  • seasonal planning

Skills to build

  • precision agriculture
  • agricultural drone operation
  • autonomous farm machinery
  • agricultural data analytics
CurrentOvtsevod · 33%
→
Keepcrop or livestock knowledge · farm-condition assessment · machinery operation
→
Addprecision agriculture · agricultural drone operation · autonomous farm machinery

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-26 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.