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Occupation · 2026 assessment

Federal Agency Head

The Federal Agency Head role combines repeatable operations with decisions that require professional context. The index measures task exposure to AI, software automation and robotics—not the probability that the occupation disappears.

Very low risk level Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

14%2026
21%2028
29%2030
40%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
Collecting metrics and preparing management reports34%
Resource planning and scenario modelling27%
People, conflict and accountability decisions3%
Operating along a predictable route23%
Monitoring vehicle state through telemetry28%
Decisions in emergency or unpredictable conditions3%
Receiving and classifying applications and documents38%
Preparing standard responses and certificates38%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1Collecting metrics and preparing management reportsAI 34% · human 92%
  2. 2Resource planning and scenario modellingAI 27% · human 85%
  3. 3People, conflict and accountability decisionsAI 3% · human 94%
  4. 4Operating along a predictable routeAI 23% · human 82%
  5. 5Monitoring vehicle state through telemetryAI 28% · human 90%
  6. 6Decisions in emergency or unpredictable conditionsAI 3% · human 90%
  7. 7Receiving and classifying applications and documentsAI 38% · human 88%
  8. 8Preparing standard responses and certificatesAI 38% · human 82%

Why technology can change this work

  • AI prepares reports, plans, minutes and management options
  • autopilot gradually takes control in constrained, well-mapped environments
  • applications, registers and interagency documents are becoming digital
  • standard requests and checks follow formal rules
  • AI helps detect issues and draft decisions

What protects the occupation

  • accountability for people, priorities and conflicting interests
  • operation in bad weather, road works and unpredictable human behavior
  • a large share of value comes from human judgement, trust or personal accountability
  • public authority and personal accountability
  • balancing citizen and organizational interests
  • political, social and legal consequences

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$9 200per month
2035$13 300scenario estimate
2026: $9 20020262027: $9 60020272028: $10 00020282029: $10 40020292030: $10 85020302031: $11 30020312032: $11 75020322033: $12 25020332034: $12 75020342035: $13 3002035
Find jobs ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗

Practical next step

Where to move next

Do not restart from zero: carry your experience forward and add scarce skills.

Future of Work Analyst

Emerging role
New role risk28%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit89%

AI Policy Analyst

Emerging role
New role risk16%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit87%

Urban Simulation Planner

Emerging role
New role risk17%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit85%

AI Procurement Manager

Emerging role
New role risk29%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit83%

Digital Identity Architect

Emerging role
New role risk15%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit58%

Cyber Resilience Planner

Emerging role
New role risk17%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit58%

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Skills you already have

  • goal setting
  • people management
  • resource allocation
  • spatial attention
  • emergency response
  • regulatory process understanding

Skills to build

  • AI-enabled team management
  • auditing AI management recommendations
  • remote autonomous-vehicle supervision
  • telemetry work
  • public data governance
  • algorithmic decision auditing
CurrentFederal Agency Head · 14%
→
Keepgoal setting · people management · resource allocation
→
AddAI-enabled team management · auditing AI management recommendations · remote autonomous-vehicle supervision

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-25 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.