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Occupation · 2026 assessment

Coffee shops Manager

The Coffee shops Manager role combines repeatable operations with decisions that require professional context. The index measures task exposure to AI, software automation and robotics—not the probability that the occupation disappears.

Low risk level Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

33%2026
38%2028
44%2030
52%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
Collecting metrics and preparing management reports43%
Resource planning and scenario modelling34%
People, conflict and accountability decisions13%
Bookings, reminders and standard messages46%
Initial diagnosis of a standard request37%
Estimating cost and selecting a standard solution42%
Repeatable operation in a prepared environment44%
Handling a non-standard client situation28%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1Collecting metrics and preparing management reportsAI 43% · human 76%
  2. 2Resource planning and scenario modellingAI 34% · human 70%
  3. 3People, conflict and accountability decisionsAI 13% · human 81%
  4. 4Bookings, reminders and standard messagesAI 46% · human 71%
  5. 5Initial diagnosis of a standard requestAI 37% · human 68%
  6. 6Estimating cost and selecting a standard solutionAI 42% · human 67%
  7. 7Repeatable operation in a prepared environmentAI 44% · human 71%
  8. 8Handling a non-standard client situationAI 28% · human 73%

Why technology can change this work

  • AI prepares reports, plans, minutes and management options
  • booking, communication and routine advice move to digital services
  • robots gradually learn standardized operations
  • AI helps diagnose problems and select solutions

What protects the occupation

  • accountability for people, priorities and conflicting interests
  • hands-on work in unpredictable environments
  • a large share of value comes from human judgement, trust or personal accountability
  • personal trust and individual adaptation
  • on-site accountability for outcomes

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$4 750per month
2035$6 400scenario estimate
2026: $4 75020262027: $4 90020272028: $5 10020282029: $5 25020292030: $5 45020302031: $5 60020312032: $5 80020322033: $6 00020332034: $6 20020342035: $6 4002035
Find jobs ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗

Practical next step

Where to move next

Do not restart from zero: carry your experience forward and add scarce skills.

Plumber

Established resilient role
New role risk10%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit89%

AI Literacy Instructor

Emerging role
New role risk15%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit68%

Robot Human Factors Specialist

Emerging role
New role risk11%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit62%

AI Adoption Coach

Emerging role
New role risk19%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit64%

Robotics Maintenance Planner

Emerging role
New role risk15%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit58%

Domestic Robot Installer

Emerging role
New role risk8%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit81%

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Skills you already have

  • goal setting
  • people management
  • resource allocation
  • needs diagnosis
  • practical execution
  • customer communication

Skills to build

  • AI-enabled team management
  • auditing AI management recommendations
  • digital diagnostics
  • smart-equipment operation
  • service-robot management
  • digital customer service
CurrentCoffee shops Manager · 33%
→
Keepgoal setting · people management · resource allocation
→
AddAI-enabled team management · auditing AI management recommendations · digital diagnostics

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-25 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.