RU

Occupation · 2026 assessment

Program Manager

The Program Manager role combines repeatable operations with decisions that require professional context. The index measures task exposure to AI, software automation and robotics—not the probability that the occupation disappears.

Low risk level Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

26%2026
32%2028
39%2030
48%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
Collecting metrics and preparing management reports46%
Resource planning and scenario modelling40%
People, conflict and accountability decisions7%
Finding and qualifying prospects48%
Preparing standard outreach and proposals50%
Maintaining CRM records and contact history49%
Forecasting deals and next actions41%
Negotiating complex terms12%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1Collecting metrics and preparing management reportsAI 46% · human 80%
  2. 2Resource planning and scenario modellingAI 40% · human 73%
  3. 3People, conflict and accountability decisionsAI 7% · human 88%
  4. 4Finding and qualifying prospectsAI 48% · human 76%
  5. 5Preparing standard outreach and proposalsAI 50% · human 66%
  6. 6Maintaining CRM records and contact historyAI 49% · human 75%
  7. 7Forecasting deals and next actionsAI 41% · human 70%
  8. 8Negotiating complex termsAI 12% · human 77%

Why technology can change this work

  • AI prepares reports, plans, minutes and management options
  • AI finds leads and prepares personalized outreach
  • CRM systems predict deal probability and next action
  • standard consultations move to chat and voice agents

What protects the occupation

  • accountability for people, priorities and conflicting interests
  • trust and long-term relationships
  • a large share of value comes from human judgement, trust or personal accountability
  • complex negotiation and customer motivation
  • accountability for non-standard commercial offers

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$6 900per month
2035$9 300scenario estimate
2026: $6 90020262027: $7 15020272028: $7 40020282029: $7 65020292030: $7 90020302031: $8 15020312032: $8 45020322033: $8 70020332034: $9 00020342035: $9 3002035
Find jobs ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗

Practical next step

Where to move next

Do not restart from zero: carry your experience forward and add scarce skills.

AI Adoption Coach

Emerging role
New role risk19%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit64%

Customer Success Manager

Established resilient role
New role risk30%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit87%

AI Workflow Designer

Emerging role
New role risk31%
DemandHighDifficultyHighTime12–24 monthsSkill fit54%

Real Estate Market Analyst

Established resilient role
New role risk49%
DemandMediumDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit60%

AI Procurement Manager

Emerging role
New role risk29%
DemandHighDifficultyHighTime12–24 monthsSkill fit50%

Digital Avatar Producer

Emerging role
New role risk35%
DemandHighDifficultyHighTime12–24 monthsSkill fit50%

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Skills you already have

  • goal setting
  • people management
  • resource allocation
  • needs discovery
  • negotiation
  • objection handling

Skills to build

  • AI-enabled team management
  • auditing AI management recommendations
  • AI prospecting
  • funnel analytics
  • sales AI-assistant management
  • complex B2B sales
CurrentProgram Manager · 26%
→
Keepgoal setting · people management · resource allocation
→
AddAI-enabled team management · auditing AI management recommendations · AI prospecting

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-25 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.