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Occupation · 2026 assessment

Manager

A Manager aligns goals, people, timelines and resources, resolves deviations and is accountable for team or business outcomes. The assessment separates automation of individual tasks from accountability for the professional outcome.

Moderate risk level Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

50%2026
53%2028
57%2030
63%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
setting goals and success criteria68%
planning resources and timelines63%
assigning accountability59%
monitoring delivery54%
managing risks and change48%
running meetings and negotiations38%
analysing performance metrics27%
making final decisions19%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1setting goals and success criteriaAI 68% · human 55%
  2. 2planning resources and timelinesAI 63% · human 59%
  3. 3assigning accountabilityAI 59% · human 61%
  4. 4monitoring deliveryAI 54% · human 65%
  5. 5managing risks and changeAI 48% · human 60%
  6. 6running meetings and negotiationsAI 38% · human 69%
  7. 7analysing performance metricsAI 27% · human 71%
  8. 8making final decisionsAI 19% · human 66%

Why technology can change this work

  • digital tools reduce preparation and control time
  • full automation is constrained by variable real-world conditions
  • many cases still require professional judgement
  • the main inputs and outputs already exist digitally

What protects the occupation

  • physical presence
  • individual client needs
  • on-site result quality

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$4 750per month
2035$6 400scenario estimate
2026: $4 75020262027: $4 90020272028: $5 10020282029: $5 25020292030: $5 45020302031: $5 60020312032: $5 80020322033: $6 00020332034: $6 20020342035: $6 4002035
Find jobs ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗

Practical next step

Where to move next

Do not restart from zero: carry your experience forward and add scarce skills.

Plumber

Established resilient role
New role risk10%
DemandMediumDifficultyHighTime12–24 monthsSkill fit56%

AI Literacy Instructor

Emerging role
New role risk15%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit68%

Robot Human Factors Specialist

Emerging role
New role risk11%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit62%

AI Adoption Coach

Emerging role
New role risk19%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit64%

Robotics Maintenance Planner

Emerging role
New role risk15%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit58%

Domestic Robot Installer

Emerging role
New role risk8%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit81%

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Skills you already have

  • planning
  • risk management
  • negotiation
  • financial literacy
  • leadership
  • metrics management

Skills to build

  • AI-assisted planning
  • scenario modelling
  • portfolio management
  • reporting automation
  • change management
  • AI governance
CurrentManager · 50%
→
Keepplanning · risk management · negotiation
→
AddAI-assisted planning · scenario modelling · portfolio management

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-26 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.