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Occupation · 2026 assessment

Project Manager

A project manager turns a project goal into an agreed plan, connects stakeholders and the team, and manages scope, time, budget, risks and change. AI automates minutes, reporting and parts of planning, while conflicting interests, accountability and decisions under uncertainty remain human.

Moderate risk level Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

43%2026
46%2028
50%2030
56%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
setting goals and success criteria61%
planning resources and timelines56%
assigning accountability52%
monitoring delivery47%
managing risks and change41%
running meetings and negotiations31%
analysing performance metrics20%
making final decisions12%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1setting goals and success criteriaAI 61% · human 58%
  2. 2planning resources and timelinesAI 56% · human 62%
  3. 3assigning accountabilityAI 52% · human 64%
  4. 4monitoring deliveryAI 47% · human 68%
  5. 5managing risks and changeAI 41% · human 63%
  6. 6running meetings and negotiationsAI 31% · human 72%
  7. 7analysing performance metricsAI 20% · human 74%
  8. 8making final decisionsAI 12% · human 69%

Why technology can change this work

  • digital tools reduce preparation and control time
  • full automation is constrained by variable real-world conditions
  • many cases still require professional judgement
  • the main inputs and outputs already exist digitally

What protects the occupation

  • architectural decisions
  • reliability and security accountability
  • business-context understanding

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$9 500per month
2035$12 850scenario estimate
2026: $9 50020262027: $9 80020272028: $10 15020282029: $10 50020292030: $10 85020302031: $11 25020312032: $11 60020322033: $12 00020332034: $12 40020342035: $12 8502035
Find jobs ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗

Practical next step

Where to move next

Do not restart from zero: carry your experience forward and add scarce skills.

Data Analyst

Established resilient role
New role risk51%
DemandMediumDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit87%

Analytics Engineer

Established resilient role
New role risk27%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit87%

AI Security Engineer

Emerging role
New role risk14%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit68%

AI Workflow Designer

Emerging role
New role risk31%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit83%

Product Manager

Established resilient role
New role risk31%
DemandMediumDifficultyHighTime12–24 monthsSkill fit48%

Digital Twin Engineer

Emerging role
New role risk14%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit62%

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Skills you already have

  • planning
  • risk management
  • negotiation
  • financial literacy
  • leadership
  • metrics management

Skills to build

  • AI-assisted planning
  • scenario modelling
  • portfolio management
  • reporting automation
  • change management
  • AI governance
CurrentProject Manager · 43%
→
Keepplanning · risk management · negotiation
→
AddAI-assisted planning · scenario modelling · portfolio management

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-26 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.