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Occupation · 2026 assessment

Manager

A Manager aligns goals, people, timelines and resources, resolves deviations and is accountable for team or business outcomes. The assessment separates automation of individual tasks from accountability for the professional outcome.

Low risk level Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

40%2026
43%2028
47%2030
53%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
setting goals and success criteria58%
planning resources and timelines53%
assigning accountability49%
monitoring delivery44%
managing risks and change38%
running meetings and negotiations28%
analysing performance metrics17%
making final decisions9%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1setting goals and success criteriaAI 58% · human 59%
  2. 2planning resources and timelinesAI 53% · human 62%
  3. 3assigning accountabilityAI 49% · human 65%
  4. 4monitoring deliveryAI 44% · human 68%
  5. 5managing risks and changeAI 38% · human 63%
  6. 6running meetings and negotiationsAI 28% · human 72%
  7. 7analysing performance metricsAI 17% · human 74%
  8. 8making final decisionsAI 9% · human 69%

Why technology can change this work

  • digital tools reduce preparation and control time
  • full automation is constrained by variable real-world conditions
  • many cases still require professional judgement
  • the main inputs and outputs already exist digitally

What protects the occupation

  • physical presence
  • individual client needs
  • on-site result quality

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$5 650per month
2035$7 650scenario estimate
2026: $5 65020262027: $5 85020272028: $6 05020282029: $6 25020292030: $6 45020302031: $6 70020312032: $6 90020322033: $7 15020332034: $7 40020342035: $7 6502035
Find jobs ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗

Practical next step

Where to move next

Do not restart from zero: carry your experience forward and add scarce skills.

Plumber

Established resilient role
New role risk10%
DemandMediumDifficultyHighTime12–24 monthsSkill fit56%

Robotics Maintenance Planner

Emerging role
New role risk15%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit64%

Domestic Robot Installer

Emerging role
New role risk8%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit85%

Remote Care Coordinator

Emerging role
New role risk13%
DemandHighDifficultyHighTime3–6 yearsSkill fit39%

Digital Wellbeing Specialist

Emerging role
New role risk20%
DemandHighDifficultyHighTime12–24 monthsSkill fit56%

Customer Success Manager

Established resilient role
New role risk30%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit64%

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Skills you already have

  • planning
  • risk management
  • negotiation
  • financial literacy
  • leadership
  • metrics management

Skills to build

  • AI-assisted planning
  • scenario modelling
  • portfolio management
  • reporting automation
  • change management
  • AI governance
CurrentManager · 40%
→
Keepplanning · risk management · negotiation
→
AddAI-assisted planning · scenario modelling · portfolio management

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-26 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.