Occupation · 2026 assessment

Diver

A Diver performs physical work with materials, loads or equipment and is accountable for safe execution at a real worksite. The assessment separates automation of individual tasks from accountability for the professional outcome.

Very low risk level Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

12%2026
15%2028
19%2030
25%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
preparing the worksite and tools30%
reading the work order or process sheet25%
performing the core manual operation21%
checking dimensions and quality16%
moving materials10%
correcting local defects3%
following safety procedures3%
handing over completed work3%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1preparing the worksite and toolsAI 30% · human 75%
  2. 2reading the work order or process sheetAI 25% · human 64%
  3. 3performing the core manual operationAI 21% · human 69%
  4. 4checking dimensions and qualityAI 16% · human 65%
  5. 5moving materialsAI 10% · human 75%
  6. 6correcting local defectsAI 3% · human 81%
  7. 7following safety proceduresAI 3% · human 81%
  8. 8handing over completed workAI 3% · human 77%

Why technology can change this work

  • digital tools reduce preparation and control time
  • repeatable physical operations can be mechanised or robotised in structured environments
  • a material share of the job follows stable procedures
  • key information often emerges only through direct work

What protects the occupation

  • physical presence
  • individual client needs
  • on-site result quality

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$4 500per month
2035$6 700scenario estimate
2026: $4 50020262027: $4 70020272028: $4 90020282029: $5 15020292030: $5 35020302031: $5 60020312032: $5 85020322033: $6 15020332034: $6 40020342035: $6 7002035
Find jobs ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Skills you already have

  • safe work practices
  • tool operation
  • reading drawings and work orders
  • quality control
  • physical coordination
  • equipment maintenance

Skills to build

  • digital work orders
  • machine-vision inspection
  • working alongside robots
  • safety sensors
  • predictive maintenance
  • lean production
CurrentDiver · 12%
→
Keepsafe work practices · tool operation · reading drawings and work orders
→
Adddigital work orders · machine-vision inspection · working alongside robots

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-26 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.