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Occupation · 2026 assessment

Physician

A Physician assesses patients, diagnoses or provides treatment and bears personal responsibility for clinical decisions. The assessment separates automation of individual tasks from accountability for the professional outcome.

Very low risk level Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

16%2026
19%2028
23%2030
29%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
taking history and symptoms34%
physical examination29%
ordering investigations25%
interpreting results20%
making a diagnosis14%
selecting and delivering treatment4%
monitoring progress3%
communicating with the patient and care team3%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1taking history and symptomsAI 34% · human 76%
  2. 2physical examinationAI 29% · human 79%
  3. 3ordering investigationsAI 25% · human 87%
  4. 4interpreting resultsAI 20% · human 81%
  5. 5making a diagnosisAI 14% · human 90%
  6. 6selecting and delivering treatmentAI 4% · human 93%
  7. 7monitoring progressAI 3% · human 94%
  8. 8communicating with the patient and care teamAI 3% · human 88%

Why technology can change this work

  • digital tools reduce preparation and control time
  • full automation is constrained by variable real-world conditions
  • many cases still require professional judgement
  • key information often emerges only through direct work

What protects the occupation

  • personal accountability for the patient
  • work with incomplete clinical evidence
  • physical examination and procedures

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$9 750per month
2035$14 550scenario estimate
2026: $9 75020262027: $10 20020272028: $10 65020282029: $11 15020292030: $11 65020302031: $12 15020312032: $12 75020322033: $13 30020332034: $13 90020342035: $14 5502035
Find jobs ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗

Practical next step

Where to move next

Do not restart from zero: carry your experience forward and add scarce skills.

General Practitioner

Established resilient role
New role risk20%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit89%

AI Evaluation Engineer

Emerging role
New role risk16%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit64%

Digital Therapeutics Designer

Emerging role
New role risk18%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit85%

Clinical AI Implementation Specialist

Emerging role
New role risk14%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit83%

Medical AI Safety Officer

Emerging role
New role risk10%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit81%

Clinical Genomics Coordinator

Emerging role
New role risk12%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit81%

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Clinical AI Implementation Specialist

Skill fit 83% · risk 14%

Search jobs ↗

Skills you already have

  • clinical reasoning
  • differential diagnosis
  • professional procedures
  • patient safety
  • evidence-based medicine
  • clinical communication

Skills to build

  • clinical AI validation
  • data-informed medicine
  • medical AI systems
  • data interpretation
  • patient digital safety
  • algorithm-recommendation review
CurrentPhysician · 16%
→
Keepclinical reasoning · differential diagnosis · professional procedures
→
Addclinical AI validation · data-informed medicine · medical AI systems

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-26 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.