Occupation · 2026 assessment

Last-Mile Delivery Planner

The Last-Mile Delivery Planner role combines repeatable operations with decisions that require professional context. The index measures task exposure to AI, software automation and robotics—not the probability that the occupation disappears.

Moderate risk level Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

53%2026
57%2028
61%2030
67%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
Processing orders and shipping documents76%
Optimizing routes and inventory72%
Warehouse sorting, picking and movement45%
Forecasting deadlines and capacity71%
Coordinating exceptions and disrupted deliveries47%
Supplier negotiation and outcome accountability35%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1Processing orders and shipping documentsAI 76% · human 39%
  2. 2Optimizing routes and inventoryAI 72% · human 51%
  3. 3Warehouse sorting, picking and movementAI 45% · human 52%
  4. 4Forecasting deadlines and capacityAI 71% · human 50%
  5. 5Coordinating exceptions and disrupted deliveriesAI 47% · human 48%
  6. 6Supplier negotiation and outcome accountabilityAI 35% · human 56%

Why technology can change this work

  • algorithms optimize inventory, routes and capacity
  • warehouses deploy robots and computer vision
  • standard documents and shipment statuses update automatically

What protects the occupation

  • disruption and shortage management
  • carrier and supplier negotiation
  • end-to-end supply-chain accountability

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$6 100per month
2035$8 250scenario estimate
2026: $6 10020262027: $6 30020272028: $6 50020282029: $6 75020292030: $6 95020302031: $7 20020312032: $7 45020322033: $7 70020332034: $7 95020342035: $8 2502035
Find jobs ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Skills you already have

  • shipment coordination
  • inventory planning
  • exception handling
  • operational negotiation

Skills to build

  • supply-chain analytics
  • warehouse robot management
  • logistics digital twins
  • autonomous delivery
CurrentLast-Mile Delivery Planner · 53%
→
Keepshipment coordination · inventory planning · exception handling
→
Addsupply-chain analytics · warehouse robot management · logistics digital twins

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-25 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.