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Occupation · 2026 assessment

Software Developer

A Software Developer builds, tests or supports software systems by turning requirements into a working and secure digital product. The assessment separates automation of individual tasks from accountability for the professional outcome.

Moderate risk level Calculate my risk → Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

Eine Prognose, kein garantiertes Szenario.

57%2026
61%2028
66%2030
74%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
clarifying requirements and acceptance criteria75%
designing the solution70%
writing or configuring software66%
automated testing61%
diagnosing defects55%
checking security and performance45%
documenting decisions34%
releasing and supporting changes26%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1clarifying requirements and acceptance criteriaAI 75% · human 40%
  2. 2designing the solutionAI 70% · human 47%
  3. 3writing or configuring softwareAI 66% · human 51%
  4. 4automated testingAI 61% · human 51%
  5. 5diagnosing defectsAI 55% · human 46%
  6. 6checking security and performanceAI 45% · human 56%
  7. 7documenting decisionsAI 34% · human 52%
  8. 8releasing and supporting changesAI 26% · human 64%

Why technology can change this work

  • AI systems can already perform part of the information and preparation work
  • full automation is constrained by variable real-world conditions
  • a material share of the job follows stable procedures
  • the main inputs and outputs already exist digitally

What protects the occupation

  • architectural decisions
  • reliability and security accountability
  • business-context understanding

Deutschland · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026€5 270per month
2035€6 760scenario estimate
2026: €5 27020262027: €5 42020272028: €5 57020282029: €5 73020292030: €5 89020302031: €6 05020312032: €6 22020322033: €6 39020332034: €6 57020342035: €6 7602035
Find jobs · Bundesagentur für Arbeit ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: Eurostat ↗

Practical next step

Where to move next

Do not restart from zero: carry your experience forward and add scarce skills.

AI Application Engineer

Established resilient role
New role risk19%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit89%

Solutions Architect

Established resilient role
New role risk22%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit87%

Cybersecurity Engineer

Established resilient role
New role risk24%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit68%

Robotics Technician

Established resilient role
New role risk18%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit64%

Analytics Engineer

Established resilient role
New role risk27%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit81%

AI Security Engineer

Emerging role
New role risk14%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit64%

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Skills you already have

  • systems thinking
  • programming and development tools
  • test design
  • diagnostics
  • version control
  • information security

Skills to build

  • AI-assisted development
  • generated-code review
  • systems architecture
  • DevSecOps
  • observability
  • AI-model evaluation
CurrentSoftware Developer · 57%
→
Keepsystems thinking · programming and development tools · test design
→
AddAI-assisted development · generated-code review · systems architecture

Sources and update

Aktualisiert: 2026-09-27 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Около 30 000 задач; глобальная оценка воздействия GenAI по детализированным группам профессий.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

Опрос более 1 000 работодателей, представляющих свыше 14 млн работников в 55 экономиках.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Структура профессий, задач, навыков и рабочих контекстов.