RU

Occupation · 2026 assessment

Software Developer

The Software Developer role combines repeatable operations with decisions that require professional context. The index measures task exposure to AI, software automation and robotics—not the probability that the occupation disappears.

Moderate risk level Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

56%2026
62%2028
68%2030
76%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
Generating CRUD code and standard modules97%
Creating migrations, tests and documentation93%
Reviewing and validating generated code61%
Generating routine code and configuration94%
Preparing tests and technical documentation90%
Classifying errors and analyzing logs82%
Data migrations and routine integrations82%
Architecture and technical trade-offs56%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1Generating CRUD code and standard modulesAI 97% · human 35%
  2. 2Creating migrations, tests and documentationAI 93% · human 33%
  3. 3Reviewing and validating generated codeAI 61% · human 51%
  4. 4Generating routine code and configurationAI 94% · human 37%
  5. 5Preparing tests and technical documentationAI 90% · human 47%
  6. 6Classifying errors and analyzing logsAI 82% · human 38%
  7. 7Data migrations and routine integrationsAI 82% · human 39%
  8. 8Architecture and technical trade-offsAI 56% · human 45%

Why technology can change this work

  • AI agents already create routine functions, tests, migrations and documentation
  • code, configuration and documentation are already digital
  • a large share of textual, analytical or information tasks is accessible to current AI models
  • the main inputs and outputs already exist in a digital environment
  • routine code, tests and technical text can be generated automatically
  • many outputs can be checked with tests and static analysis

What protects the occupation

  • understanding architecture and the consequences of changing a live system
  • architecture decisions and production accountability
  • understanding business constraints and legacy systems
  • security and complex system integration

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$10 050per month
2035$12 750scenario estimate
2026: $10 05020262027: $10 30020272028: $10 60020282029: $10 90020292030: $11 15020302031: $11 45020312032: $11 80020322033: $12 10020332034: $12 40020342035: $12 7502035
Find jobs ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗

Practical next step

Where to move next

Do not restart from zero: carry your experience forward and add scarce skills.

AI Application Engineer

Established resilient role
New role risk19%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit89%

Solutions Architect

Established resilient role
New role risk22%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit87%

Cybersecurity Engineer

Established resilient role
New role risk24%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit68%

Robotics Technician

Established resilient role
New role risk18%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit64%

Analytics Engineer

Established resilient role
New role risk27%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit81%

AI Security Engineer

Emerging role
New role risk14%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit64%

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Skills you already have

  • reading existing code
  • task decomposition
  • systems thinking
  • software-system understanding
  • debugging
  • requirements work

Skills to build

  • software AI-agent orchestration
  • review and validation of generated code
  • AI-agent-assisted development
  • architecture and system design
  • AI-generated code security
  • observability and DevOps
CurrentSoftware Developer · 56%
→
Keepreading existing code · task decomposition · systems thinking
→
Addsoftware AI-agent orchestration · review and validation of generated code · AI-agent-assisted development

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-25 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.