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Occupation · 2026 assessment

Operations Manager

The Operations Manager role combines repeatable operations with decisions that require professional context. The index measures task exposure to AI, software automation and robotics—not the probability that the occupation disappears.

Low risk level Search jobs ↗
How risk may change

A forecast estimate, not a guaranteed scenario.

32%2026
37%2028
43%2030
52%2035

Which tasks are exposed

Risk applies to individual tasks—not to a person or an entire occupation.

TaskRisk
Collecting metrics and preparing management reports42%
Resource planning and scenario modelling33%
People, conflict and accountability decisions12%
Bookings, reminders and standard messages45%
Initial diagnosis of a standard request36%
Estimating cost and selecting a standard solution41%
Repeatable operation in a prepared environment43%
Handling a non-standard client situation27%

Task map

AI replaces ↔ AI augments

Each task is positioned by AI capability and the degree of human involvement still required.

  1. 1Collecting metrics and preparing management reportsAI 42% · human 77%
  2. 2Resource planning and scenario modellingAI 33% · human 71%
  3. 3People, conflict and accountability decisionsAI 12% · human 82%
  4. 4Bookings, reminders and standard messagesAI 45% · human 72%
  5. 5Initial diagnosis of a standard requestAI 36% · human 69%
  6. 6Estimating cost and selecting a standard solutionAI 41% · human 68%
  7. 7Repeatable operation in a prepared environmentAI 43% · human 72%
  8. 8Handling a non-standard client situationAI 27% · human 74%

Why technology can change this work

  • AI prepares reports, plans, minutes and management options
  • booking, communication and routine advice move to digital services
  • robots gradually learn standardized operations
  • AI helps diagnose problems and select solutions

What protects the occupation

  • accountability for people, priorities and conflicting interests
  • hands-on work in unpredictable environments
  • a large share of value comes from human judgement, trust or personal accountability
  • personal trust and individual adaptation
  • on-site accountability for outcomes

United States · before tax

Average pay and outlook

Estimated nominal monthly pay. The scenario reflects sector, demand and task resilience; it is not a guarantee of income.

2026$4 200per month
2035$5 650scenario estimate
2026: $4 20020262027: $4 35020272028: $4 50020282029: $4 65020292030: $4 80020302031: $4 95020312032: $5 15020322033: $5 30020332034: $5 50020342035: $5 6502035
Find jobs ↗The partner link may contain referral parameters. Data benchmark: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗

Practical next step

Where to move next

Do not restart from zero: carry your experience forward and add scarce skills.

Plumber

Established resilient role
New role risk10%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit89%

AI Literacy Instructor

Emerging role
New role risk15%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit68%

Robot Human Factors Specialist

Emerging role
New role risk11%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit62%

AI Adoption Coach

Emerging role
New role risk19%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit64%

Robotics Maintenance Planner

Emerging role
New role risk15%
DemandHighDifficultyMediumTime6–12 monthsSkill fit58%

Domestic Robot Installer

Emerging role
New role risk8%
DemandHighDifficultyLowTime3–6 monthsSkill fit81%

Job search and transitions

Find work with a lower risk index

Compare adjacent paths and open a current search for the selected occupation.

Skills you already have

  • goal setting
  • people management
  • resource allocation
  • needs diagnosis
  • practical execution
  • customer communication

Skills to build

  • AI-enabled team management
  • auditing AI management recommendations
  • digital diagnostics
  • smart-equipment operation
  • service-robot management
  • digital customer service
CurrentOperations Manager · 32%
→
Keepgoal setting · people management · resource allocation
→
AddAI-enabled team management · auditing AI management recommendations · digital diagnostics

Sources and update

Updated: 2026-09-25 · Assessment confidence: Medium

International Labour Organization · 2025Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure

Nearly 30,000 tasks; a global assessment of GenAI exposure across detailed occupational groups.

World Economic Forum · 2025The Future of Jobs Report 2025

A survey of more than 1,000 employers representing over 14 million workers across 55 economies.

O*NET Resource Center · 2026O*NET Database

Occupational, task, skill and work-context structure.